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Is Oman Giving Up Sovereignty? A Hormuz Deal Appears Near

SAFAA SUBHI

1- Iran and Oman are reportedly close to a temporary agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz through a new shipping arrangement.
2- The proposed framework would give Iran a larger operational role over inbound traffic, raising questions about Oman's future role.
3- A successful deal could restore global shipping through the strait and ease energy market concerns, while leaving key governance issues unresolved.

The latest

Iran and Oman are nearing an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to a source familiar with the talks cited by The Jerusalem Post. The proposed arrangement would give Iran greater influence over shipping during a transitional period. While the plan is viewed as a potential breakthrough, it has also sparked questions over whether Oman is conceding part of its traditional role in managing one of the world’s most strategic waterways.

Details

  • The proposal: Reports indicate that vessels entering the Gulf would use the channel closest to Iran, while outbound traffic would follow the route nearer to Oman, with Tehran being notified of departing ships.
  • Iran’s role: Reuters, citing a senior Iranian official, reported that Tehran would retain full control over the inbound route while keeping the ability to monitor or intervene in outbound traffic when necessary. Oman would issue departure clearances.
  • The sovereignty question: None of the parties has suggested that Oman is surrendering sovereignty. However, the proposed distribution of responsibilities would give Iran a broader operational and security role than it held before the war, raising political questions about the future balance of authority in the strait.
  • The U.S. concern: According to the Associated Press, any agreement may also require progress on U.S. restrictions affecting Iranian ports. Washington is reportedly concerned that the arrangement could establish a precedent allowing a single state to exercise greater control over an international maritime passage.

Background

Before the war, the Strait of Hormuz functioned as an international waterway with largely unrestricted commercial navigation. Following attacks on shipping and the disruption of maritime traffic, Iran pushed for a new framework that would expand its role in managing the passage. A previous U.S.-Iran understanding collapsed amid disagreements over these arrangements. Tehran has maintained that its current negotiations are taking place solely with Oman and not directly with the United States.

What to watch

Attention is now focused on whether Tehran and Muscat formally announce an agreement, how responsibilities would ultimately be divided between the two countries, and whether Washington accepts a framework that grants Iran a lasting operational role in the strait.

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